AI Isn’t Hitting A Wall Soon
Mustafa Suleyman: AI development won’t hit a wall anytime soon—here’s why
https://www.technologyreview.com/2026/04/08/1135398/mustafa-suleyman-ai-future/
The compute explosion is the technological story of our time. And it is still only just beginning.
Filed April 15, 2026 at 9:08 am
We've watched a lot of technology waves arrive and break and every time, the people who said it would change everything were at least partly right and at least partly wrong about how fast it would get there. Mustafa Suleyman lays out the case that this time the underlying math is different: since 2010, the compute going into frontier AI models has grown by a trillion times, and the forces driving that growth are still accelerating.
Software efficiency is improving so fast that the cost of running some models has dropped by a factor of 900 in a single year. What's coming isn't a better chatbot. It's teams of AI agents capable of running weeks-long projects with something approaching human-level judgment.
Every revolution I've lived through had a plausible ceiling. This one doesn't have one in sight yet.